Opinionsundersökning inför nästa italienska riksdagsval

Under åren fram till nästa italienska allmänna val, som kommer att äga rum senast den 22 december 2027, genomför olika organisationer opinionsundersökningar för att mäta avsikten att rösta i Italien . Datumintervallet är från efter det italienska allmänna valet 2022, som hölls den 25 september, till idag. Omröstningsresultat rapporteras vid de datum då fältarbetet gjordes, i motsats till publiceringsdatumet; om sådant datum är okänt anges publiceringsdatum istället. Enligt den italienska par condicio (lika villkor) är publicering av opinionsundersökningar förbjudet under de två sista veckorna av en valkampanj.

Partiomröstning

Grafisk sammanfattning

Lokal regression av genomförda undersökningar

Partier eller listor är ordnade efter deras andel av rösterna 2022.

2023

Datum för fältarbete Röstningsbyrå Provstorlek FdI PD M5S Lega FI A–IV AVS +E Italexit UPP ISP NM Andra Leda
1–6 mars SWG 1 200 30.7 19,0 15.7 8.8 6.6 8,0 3.0 2.1 1.7 1.8 2.6 11.7
2 mars EMG 1 302 27.3 18.1 16.2 9.8 8.2 6.8 3.4 2.8 2.3 1.4 1.5 2.2 9.2
2 mars Tecnè 1 000 30.7 18,0 16.5 8.8 7.5 7.4 2.9 2.6 1.7 3.9 12.7
2 mars Proger Index 800 30.1 17.8 16.7 8.9 6,0 7.6 4.0 2.9 2.0 4.0 12.3
28 februari 2 mars Kvorum 804 28.7 17.9 15.6 8.7 5.7 7.2 3.3 2.1 2.4 1.8 6.6 10.8
23 februari 2 mars Lab2101 1 000 29,7 17.3 16.1 9.6 7.2 8.4 4.1 2.5 1.5 0,4 3.2 12.4
28 februari 1 mars Termometro Politico 4 600 28,9 17.9 16.7 9.2 7.1 7.9 2.0 2.4 2.6 1.5 1.6 2.2 11.0
28 feb Euromedia 1 000 29.6 19.6 15.6 9.4 6.9 8.3 2.0 2.4 2.5 0,5 3.2 10,0
28 feb Noto 28,5 19.5 16.5 10,0 7.5 8,0 1.5 1.5 1.5 6,0 9,0
23–27 feb SWG 1 200 30.7 16.4 17,0 8.7 6.4 7.2 3.8 2.9 2.0 1.7 3.2 13.7
23–24 feb Tecnè 1 000 31,0 17.2 16.8 9.1 7.7 7.2 3.2 2.5 1.6 3.7 13.8
21–23 feb Ipsos 1 000 31,0 17,0 17.5 8.6 7.4 6,0 3.5 2.0 2.1 2.0 0,8 1.2 0,9 13.5
23 feb EMG 1,388 27.7 18.6 16.6 9.4 7.8 7,0 3.2 3.0 2.0 1.3 1.4 2.0 9.1
21–23 feb Termometro Politico 4 300 28,5 16.6 17.3 9.2 7.5 7.6 2.7 2.7 2.5 1.6 1.7 2.1 11.2
20–23 feb Lab2101 1 000 29,5 16.2 16.9 9.5 6.9 8,0 4.3 2.7 1.6 0,6 3.8 12.6
22 feb Proger Index 800 30,5 16.3 17.1 9.2 6,0 7.4 4.0 2.8 2.1 4.6 13.4
20–22 feb Demos & Pi 1 003 30,5 17.5 17,0 8.5 7,0 7.2 3.3 2.9 6.1 13,0
21 feb Euromedia 800 29.6 17.5 16.9 9,0 7.7 8.1 3.0 2.4 2.1 0,5 3.2 12.1
15–21 feb Ixè 1 000 31.1 16.9 17.2 7.6 6.7 6.6 4.2 2.1 1.8 0,9 4.9 13.9
20 feb Piepoli 510 30,5 15,0 17,0 9.5 7,0 7.5 3.0 2.5 2.5 1.5 4.0 13.5
15–20 feb SWG 1 200 31,0 15.8 17,0 9.3 6.2 7.4 3.4 2.8 1.9 2.0 3.2 14,0
16–18 feb Tecnè 1 000 31.1 16.7 17,0 9.2 7.8 7.4 3.1 2.4 1.7 3.6 14.1
14–16 feb Termometro Politico 4 100 28.7 16.8 17.2 8.9 7.5 7.9 2.8 2.5 2.4 1.5 1.6 2.2 11.5
13–16 feb Lab2101 1 000 29.4 16,0 17.2 9.6 6.9 8.1 4.0 2.6 1.5 0,5 4.2 12.2
15 feb Proger Index 800 31,0 15.4 17.5 8.7 6.3 7.6 3.9 2.8 2.2 4.6 13.5
13–14 feb EMG 1,523 27.8 18.3 17.5 8.8 7.4 7.4 3.5 2.5 2.0 1.3 1.5 2.0 9.5
13 feb Noto 28,5 16,0 19,0 10,0 7.5 7.5 2.5 2.0 1.5 5.5 9.5
11–13 feb Tecnè 1 000 30.6 17.1 16.7 9.2 8,0 7.4 3.3 2.5 5.2 13.5
8–13 feb SWG 1 200 31,0 15.1 17.7 8.9 6.1 7.8 3.6 2.8 2.2 1.7 3.1 14.9
9 feb Lab2101 1 000 28,9 16.5 17.9 9.3 6.8 9.1 4.0 2.7 1.4 0,5 2.7 12.2
1–6 feb SWG 1 200 30.6 14.8 17.5 8.7 6.4 8.1 3.5 3.0 2.3 2.0 3.1 13.1
27 jan 3 feb Lab2101 1 000 28,5 16.6 17.8 9.5 7,0 9.3 3.9 2.8 1.4 0,6 2.6 10.7
2 feb EMG 1 456 27.5 17.9 17.7 8.7 7.4 7.6 3.4 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.3 2.5 9.6
31 jan 2 feb Termometro Politico 4 100 28,5 16.5 17.9 8.6 7,0 8.3 2.9 2.6 2.3 1.6 1.6 2.2 10.6
30 jan 2 feb Ixè 1 000 30.1 16.7 17.9 7.8 7.5 7,0 3.8 2.8 2.7 0,5 3.2 12.2
1 feb Proger Index 800 30.7 15.2 17.7 8.5 6.6 7.9 4.0 2.9 2.2 4.3 13,0
30 jan EMG 1 325 27.5 17.7 17.9 8.6 7.2 7.9 3.6 2.4 2.2 1.3 1.3 2.4 9.6
25–30 jan SWG 1 200 30.4 14.2 17.8 9,0 6.8 8.2 3.6 3.2 2.0 2.0 2.8 12.6
26 jan Piepoli 30,0 15,0 17.5 9,0 6.5 8.5 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.5 3.0 12.5
25–26 jan Termometro Politico 3 300 28.6 16.6 17.6 8.4 7.4 8.1 2.8 2.5 2.5 1.5 1.5 2.5 11.0
23–26 jan Kvorum 1 602 29.6 15.8 17.7 8.7 6.7 7.8 3.5 2.3 1.9 1.3 1.5 3.2 11.9
19–26 jan Lab2101 1 000 28.8 16.9 17.8 9.4 6.9 9.4 3.8 2.8 1.5 0,5 2.2 11.0
25 jan Proger Index 800 30,5 15.1 17.5 8.2 6.7 7.9 4.0 3.0 2.2 4.9 13,0
25 jan Noto 28,0 15,0 20.0 10,0 7,0 8.5 3.0 2.0 1.0 5.5 8,0
24–25 jan Demopolis 2 000 29,0 15,0 17.8 8.3 6.6 7.5 3.2 11.2
24 jan Euromedia 800 29.1 17.2 17,0 8.5 7.6 8.6 2.6 2.4 2.5 0,5 4.0 11.9
19 jan EMG 1,406 27.8 17.4 17.6 8.8 7,0 8.2 3.8 2.3 2.3 1.3 1.4 2.1 10.2
19–23 jan Ipsos 1 000 30,5 16.4 18.2 8.3 6.8 7.1 4.1 2.0 2.2 1.3 1.3 1.0 0,8 12.3
18–23 jan SWG 1 200 30.8 14,0 17.4 8.5 6.6 8.2 3.8 3.1 2.3 1.8 1.0 2.5 13.4
19–20 jan Tecnè 1 000 31,0 15.5 17.4 9,0 7.7 7.8 3.2 2.6 1.9 3.9 13.6
17–19 jan Termometro Politico 3 800 29.1 16.4 17.3 8.4 7.2 8.1 3.0 2.6 2.3 1.6 1.5 2.5 11.8
16–18 jan BiDimedia 1 200 29.1 16.3 17.1 8.8 6.8 8.2 3.6 2.7 2.3 1.4 0,9 0,9 1.9 12,0
13–18 jan Lab2101 1 000 28,5 16.5 18.1 9.5 6.7 9.1 3.9 2.7 1.7 0,4 2.9 10.4
11–16 jan SWG 1 200 31.3 14.2 17.6 8.3 6.4 7.8 3.7 3.0 2.3 1.8 1.0 2.6 13.7
12–13 jan Tecnè 1 000 31,0 15.2 17.6 9,0 7.6 7.6 3.5 2.5 1.8 4.2 13.4
12 jan EMG 1 528 28.2 17.1 17.4 9,0 7,0 8.4 3.5 2.1 2.5 1.4 1.4 2.0 10.8
10–12 jan Termometro Politico 3 700 28.8 16.3 17.5 8.6 7.1 8,0 3.2 2.5 2.4 1.5 1.4 2.7 11.3
06–12 jan Lab2101 1 000 28.2 16.2 18.2 9.4 6.5 8.9 4.0 2.8 1.8 0,6 3.4 10,0
10–11 jan Euromedia 1 000 28.2 16.7 17.5 9,0 7,0 8.3 1.9 2.5 2.6 1.0 5.3 10.7
10 jan Piepoli 30,5 15,0 17.5 9,0 6.5 7.5 3.5 3.0 2.5 1.5 3.5 13,0
4–9 jan SWG 1 200 31.3 14,0 17.7 8.5 6.9 7.5 3.7 3.0 2.2 1.6 1.1 2.5 13.6
2–5 jan Lab2101 1 000 29.1 16.4 18,0 9.5 6.4 8.7 3.9 2.7 1.7 0,4 3.2 11.1
4 jan EMG 1 489 28.6 16.7 17.5 9.2 7,0 8.2 3.5 2.0 2.4 1.5 1.4 2.0 11.1

2022

Datum för fältarbete Röstningsbyrå Provstorlek FdI PD M5S Lega FI A–IV AVS +E Italexit UPP ISP NM Andra Leda
31 dec Demopolis 30,0 15.5 17.8 8.3 6.7 8,0 3.2 12.2
27–31 dec Lab2101 1 000 29,0 16.6 18.1 9.3 6.6 8.6 4.0 2.6 1.6 0,5 2.9 10.9
29 dec EMG 1,434 28.8 16.5 17.3 9.3 7.1 7.9 3.3 2.2 2.2 1.8 1.5 2.1 11.5
27–29 dec Termometro Politico 3 600 28.7 16.3 17.7 8.4 6.8 8.3 3.3 2.4 2.4 1.7 1.5 2.5 12.4
20–22 dec Ipsos 1 000 31.7 16.3 17.6 7.8 6.2 7,0 3.8 2.0 2.3 1.6 1.5 1.1 1.1 14.1
20–22 dec Termometro Politico 3 100 28.7 16.4 17.6 8.5 6.9 8.2 3.2 2.5 2.3 1.6 1.4 2.7 11.1
19–21 dec Noto 28,5 16,0 18.5 9.5 8.5 8,0 2.5 2.0 1.5 5.0 10,0
19–21 dec Ixè 1 000 30.3 15.5 18.1 9.1 6.9 7.7 4.3 2.6 2.3 1.0 2.2 12.2
20 dec Piepoli 29,5 16.5 17.5 8.5 6,0 8,0 4.0 2.5 2.5 1.5 3.5 12,0
19 dec EMG 1 358 29.3 16.8 17.3 8.9 6.7 7.5 3.2 2.4 2.3 1.8 1.4 2.5 12,0
17–19 dec BiDiMedia 1 112 29.3 16.1 17,0 8.6 6.9 8.3 3.7 2.7 2.2 1.5 1.0 0,8 1.9 12.3
14–19 dec SWG 1 200 30.6 14.7 17.4 9,0 6.1 7.8 4.0 2.8 2.2 1.8 3.6 13.2
15–16 dec Tecnè 1 000 30.8 15.7 17.5 8.8 7.4 7.5 3.4 2.6 1.9 4.4 13.3
15 dec Euromedia 28.6 15.8 17.2 9.7 7.8 8.5 2.6 2.4 2.5 0,6 4.0 11.4
15 dec EMG 1,412 29.2 16.8 17.3 8.9 6.7 7.5 3.2 2.4 2.3 1.8 1.4 2.5 11.9
14–15 dec YouTrend 800 33,0 15.4 16.7 9.1 6,0 8.5 3.1 1.9 2.4 1.8 1.1 1.0 16.3
14–15 dec Termometro Politico 3 700 28.7 16.8 17.6 8.1 7,0 8.3 3.3 2.4 2.4 1.6 1.3 2.5 11.1
8–12 dec BiDiMedia 2 018 29.1 16.5 17.2 8.2 7,0 8.1 3.8 2.5 2.1 1.7 1.1 0,7 2.0 11.9
7–12 dec SWG 1 200 30.8 15.1 17.1 8.5 6,0 8,0 4.1 2.7 2.1 1.6 4.0 13.7
9 dec Tecnè 1 000 30,5 16.4 17.5 8.7 7.3 7.6 3.5 2.5 1.8 4.4 13,0
8 dec EMG 1,428 29.2 17,0 17.5 8.7 6.6 7.3 3.2 2.6 2.5 1.9 1.4 2.1 11.7
7–8 dec Termometro Politico 3 400 28,5 16.8 17.3 8.3 6.9 8.3 3.5 2.5 2.2 1.7 1.5 2.5 11.2
30 nov 5 dec SWG 1 200 30.8 15.4 16.6 8.1 6.1 8.2 4.0 3.0 2.2 1.7 3.9 14.2
2 dec Tecnè 1 000 30.4 16.6 17.4 8.5 7.3 7.5 3.3 2.5 1.9 4.6 13,0
1 dec EMG 1 425 29,0 16.9 17.7 9.1 6.5 7.5 3.4 2.6 2.4 2.1 1.3 1.5 11.3
1 dec Noto 28,0 17,0 18,0 10,0 8,0 8,0 3.5 2.0 1.5 4.0 10,0
29 nov 1 dec Termometro Politico 3 900 28.6 16.8 17.5 8.2 6.7 8.4 3.4 2.5 2.3 1.6 1.4 2.6 11.1
30 nov Euromedia 1 000 28.1 17.4 16.6 9.8 7.3 8.4 3.2 2.3 2.3 0,6 4.0 10.7
23–28 nov SWG 1 200 30.3 15.8 16.9 7.8 6.5 8.1 4.3 2.8 2.2 1.6 3.7 13.4
25 nov Tecnè 1 000 30.3 16.4 17.6 8.4 7.2 7.6 3.3 2.6 1.8 4.8 12.7
23–25 nov BiDiMedia 1 000 28.4 16.7 17.2 8.5 7.5 7.9 3.7 2.6 2.2 1.6 1.1 0,6 2.0 11.2
24 nov EMG 1 585 28,9 16.6 18,0 9,0 6.7 7.7 3.3 2.4 2.6 2.0 1.2 1.6 10.9
22–24 nov Ipsos 1 000 31.4 17.2 17.5 7.3 6.8 6.8 4.2 2.1 1.7 2.0 1.2 1.2 0,6 13.9
22–24 nov Termometro Politico 3 800 28.7 17,0 17.1 8,0 6.9 8.4 3.3 2.6 2.2 1.6 1.4 2.8 11.6
23 nov Euromedia 1 000 28.3 17.2 16.8 9.5 6.7 8.2 3.0 2.5 2.6 0,8 4.4 11.1
21–22 nov Piepoli 509 29,0 17.5 17,0 8.5 7,0 8.5 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.5 2.0 11.5
21–22 nov Demopolis 2 000 29,0 16.5 17.4 8.7 7.3 7.6 3.5 10,0 11.6
21 nov EMG 1 489 28,9 16.5 18,0 8.8 6.9 7.5 3.4 2.3 2.5 1.9 1.2 2.1 10.9
16–21 nov SWG 1 200 30.4 16.2 16.9 7.6 6.4 7.9 4.0 3.0 1.9 1.5 4.2 13.5
18 nov Tecnè 1 000 30.1 16.4 17.4 8.5 7.2 7.7 3.4 2.5 1.9 4.9 12.7
15–17 nov Termometro Politico 3 900 28.8 17,0 16.6 8.2 6.6 8.4 3.5 2.7 2.1 1.7 1.5 2.9 11.8
16 nov Euromedia 1 000 28,5 17.4 16.5 10.2 6.1 8.5 3.3 2.4 2.4 0,5 4.2 11.1
16 nov Proger Index 800 29.6 16.5 16.8 8.2 6.5 8,0 3.9 3.0 2.3 5.2 12.8
9–14 nov SWG 1 200 30.1 16,0 17,0 8.1 6.8 8,0 3.8 2.9 2.1 1.3 3.9 13.1
11 nov Tecnè 1 000 29.4 16.9 17.1 8.4 7,0 7.7 3.5 2.5 2.0 5.5 12.3
10 nov Noto 29,0 18.5 18.5 9.5 7,0 8,0 4.5 2.0 1.0 2.0 10.5
8–10 nov Termometro Politico 4 000 28.4 17.4 16.5 8.3 6.6 8.4 3.6 2.5 2.2 1.8 1.4 2.9 11.0
7–10 nov Demos & Pi 1 001 28.8 16.9 17.3 8,0 7.1 7.6 3.8 2.8 2.0 5.7 11.5
7 nov EMG 1,483 28,0 16.8 17.5 8.7 7.1 8,0 4.0 2.7 2.5 1.6 1.1 2.0 10.5
2–7 nov SWG 1 200 29.4 16,0 16.8 7.7 6.3 8.4 4.0 2.7 2.5 1.6 4.6 12.6
4 nov Tecnè 1 000 29,0 17.1 16.9 8.3 7,0 7.8 3.6 2.7 2.0 5.6 11.9
2–3 nov Euromedia 1 000 28.7 16.5 17,0 9,0 6.5 8.2 3.5 2.5 2.5 1.0 4.6 11.7
1–3 nov Termometro Politico 4 200 28.2 17.4 16.5 8.6 6.8 8.4 3.7 2.7 2.0 1.6 1.4 2.7 10.8
2 nov Piepoli 510 28,0 18.5 16.5 8,0 7.5 8.5 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.5 2.5 9.5
26–31 okt SWG 1 200 29.1 16.3 16.3 7.9 6.5 8.6 4.1 3.0 2.5 1.4 4.3 12.8
28 okt EMG 1 522 27.6 17.3 17,0 8.4 7.5 8.3 4.0 2.9 2.3 1.4 1.0 2.3 10.3
28 okt Tecnè 1 000 28.1 17.2 16.8 8.5 7.4 7.9 3.7 2.6 1.9 5.9 10.9
25–27 okt Ipsos 1 000 29,8 18.8 16,0 8,0 6.1 7.1 3.7 2.9 2.4 2.1 1.0 1.1 1.0 11.0
25–27 okt Termometro Politico 4 000 28.1 17.8 16.6 8.4 6.8 8.2 3.5 2.7 2.1 1.6 1.4 2.8 10.3
26 okt Piepoli 516 27,0 18.5 16.5 8.5 8,0 8.5 4.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 3.0 8.5
26 okt Proger Index 800 28,0 17.6 16.2 8.6 6.8 8.1 4.1 3.2 2.2 5.2 10.4
26 okt Euromedia 800 28.4 17,0 17.3 9.5 6.7 8.3 3.4 2.6 2.6 0,8 3.4 11.1
19–24 okt SWG 1 200 28.3 17,0 16.4 8.6 6.2 8.4 4.1 3.1 2.6 1.2 4.1 11.3
21 okt Tecnè 1 000 28,0 17.5 16.6 8.4 7.6 7.6 3.6 2.7 1.8 6.2 10.5
20 okt EMG 1,571 27.3 17.7 16.7 8.4 7.6 8.2 3.9 2.9 2.3 1.3 1.0 2.7 9.6
20 okt BiDiMedia 27.1 18.2 16.2 8.5 7.9 8.2 3.8 2.6 2.1 1.3 1.0 0,7 2.4 8.9
18–20 okt Termometro Politico 3 400 27.6 17.8 16.3 8.7 7,0 8.2 3.7 2.9 1.9 1.5 1.3 3.1 9.8
17 okt EMG 1 615 27.2 18,0 16.5 8.5 7.7 8,0 3.8 2.8 2.1 1.2 1.0 3.2 9.2
12–17 okt SWG 1 200 27.4 17,0 16.7 8.5 7.5 8.1 4.1 3.3 2.5 1.1 3.8 10.4
16 okt Noto 28,0 18.5 16,0 8.5 8,0 8,0 4.0 2.5 1.0 5.5 9.5
14–15 okt Euromedia 1 000 27,0 17.5 17.2 8.5 7.3 8.7 3.4 2.5 2.4 1.1 4.4 9.5
8–14 okt Lab2101 1 000 27.2 17.6 17.4 8.9 7.4 8.3 3.9 2.8 1.9 0,7 3.9 9.6
11–13 okt Termometro Politico 4 100 27.1 18.4 16.5 8.5 7.5 7.8 3.6 2.8 2.0 1.4 1.4 3.0 8.7
12 okt Proger Index 800 27,0 17.8 16.1 8.4 8,0 8,0 3.9 3.0 2.2 5.6 9.2
5–10 okt SWG 1 200 27.5 17.5 17,0 8.3 7.4 8,0 3.8 3.1 2.4 1.0 4.0 10,0
5–6 okt Termometro Politico 3 700 26.6 18.7 16,0 8.6 7.9 8,0 3.8 2.6 2.1 1.4 1.3 0,7 2.3 7.9
4–6 okt Demos & Pi 1 004 26.4 17.8 16.8 7.9 8,0 7.8 4.2 3.4 2.1 5.6 8.6
28 sep 3 okt SWG 1 200 26.8 18.1 16.5 8.2 7.6 8.3 4.0 3.3 2.2 1.2 3.8 8.7
28 sep Euromedia 800 26.2 19,0 16.2 8.3 8.1 7.9 3.5 2.7 2.4 0,9 4.8 7.2
25 sep Valresultat 26,0 19.1 15.4 8.8 8.1 7.8 3.6 2.8 1.9 1.4 1.2 0,9 3.0 6.9

Anteckningar

externa länkar