Opinionsundersökning inför nästa rumänska parlamentsval
Som förberedelse för nästa rumänska parlamentsval , som kommer att äga rum senast i mars 2025 (och troligen under slutet av 2024), har olika röstningsföretag och organisationer från Rumänien redan (närmare bestämt sedan december 2020 och framåt) genomfört en rad opinionsundersökningar för att mäta avsikten att rösta bland den övergripande väljarkåren. Resultaten av alla dessa opinionsundersökningar visas i de årliga tabellerna nedan i denna Wikipedia-artikel. Datumintervallet är mellan kort efter det föregående parlamentsvalet, som hölls den 6 december 2020, till början av februari 2023.
Omröstningar
2023
| Datum | Enkätkälla | Provstorlek | PSD | PNL | USR | AUR | UDMR | PMP | PROFFS | PUSL | PV | App | FD | REPER | Andra | Leda |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5–19 februari 2023 | INSCOP | 3 000 | 31.7 | 22.3 | 11.2 | 18.2 | 4.6 | 2.9 | 2.4 | — | 1.4 | — | — | — | 3.9 | 9.4 |
| 27–30 januari 2023 | Atlas Intel | 2 000 | 24.8 | 17.2 | 12.4 | 17.9 | 6.4 | 5.9 | 4.0 | — | — | — | 2.9 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 6.9 |
| 10–20 januari 2023 | KURS | 1 067 | 36,0 | 22,0 | 8,0 | 14,0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | — | — | — | — | 3.0 | 14,0 |
| 6 december 2020 | Kammarval 2020 | — | 28,90 | 25.18 | 15.37 | 9.08 | 5,74 | 4,82 | 4.09 | 1.19 | 0,35 | — | — | — | 6,82 | 3,72 |
| Senatsval 2020 | — | 29.32 | 25,58 | 15,86 | 9.17 | 5,89 | 4,93 | 4.13 | 1.01 | 0,40 | — | — | — | 5.12 | 3,74 |
2022
| Datum | Enkätkälla | Provstorlek | PSD | PNL | USR / USR PLUS | AUR | UDMR | PMP | PROFFS | ALDE | PUSL | PER | App | FD | Andra | Leda |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dec 2022 | INSCOP | — | 31,5 | 20.2 | 10.9 | 18.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 19.3 | 11.3 |
| 8–22 november 2022 | KURS | 1 067 | 34 | 24 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 4 | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | 8,0 | 10,0 |
| oktober 2022 | Sociopol | — | 36 | 19 | 11 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7,0 | 17,0 |
| 8–22 september 2022 | KURS | 1 015 | 35 | 22 | 8 | 15 | 5 | — | 4 | — | 4 | — | — | — | 8,0 | 13,0 |
| augusti 2022 | Sociopol | — | 32 | 15 | 11 | 25 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11.0 | 7,0 |
| 5–17 augusti 2022 | KURS | — | 32 | 23 | 10 | 13 | — | 4 | 2 | — | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4.0 | 9,0 |
| 22–31 juli 2022 | Avangarde | c. 900 | 37 | 23 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 1 | — | 3 | — | 2 | 2 | 3.0 | 14,0 |
| 22–30 juni 2022 | Avangarde | 903 | 35 | 20 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | — | 4 | — | 2 | 2 | 4.0 | 15,0 |
| 17–30 juni 2022 | IPSOS | 1 072 | 37,8 | 25.4 | 12.7 | 10.1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.0 | 12.4 |
| 19–26 maj 2022 | KURS | 1 067 | 35 | 23 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 6 | — | — | 4 | 2 | 2 | — | 4.0 | 12,0 |
| 12–20 april 2022 | Avangarde | 906 | 36 | 19 | 11 | 14 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 16,0 | 17,0 |
| 28 mars–11 april 2022 | KURS | 2 750 | 35 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 3 | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1 | 2.0 | 12,0 |
| 22–29 mars 2022 | Avangarde | 900 | 35 | 16 | 12 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22,0 | 19,0 |
| 2–11 mars 2022 | KURS | 1 172 | 36 | 20 | 8 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 2 | — | 4 | 2 | 2 | — | 3.0 | 16,0 |
| 2–7 mars 2022 | INSCOP | 1 077 | 32 | 19.9 | 10.8 | 18.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18.4 | 13.6 |
| 9–19 februari 2022 | Sociopol | 1 001 | 35 | 16 | 13 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0,0 | 18,0 |
| 20–31 januari 2022 | Avangarde | 903 | 35 | 16 | 12 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 19,0 | 17,0 |
| 22–29 januari 2022 | KURS | 1 003 | 35 | 17 | 10 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2.0 | 18,0 |
| 10–18 januari 2022 | INSCOP | 1 162 | 34.3 | 16.6 | 12.5 | 20.6 | 4.2 | 2.1 | 2.9 | — | 1.3 | — | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 13.7 |
| 6 december 2020 | Kammarval 2020 | — | 28,90 | 25.18 | 15.37 | 9.08 | 5,74 | 4,82 | 4.09 | 1.19 | 1.12 | — | — | 6,82 | 3,72 | |
| Senatsval 2020 | — | 29.32 | 25,58 | 15,86 | 9.17 | 5,89 | 4,93 | 4.13 | 1.01 | 1,33 | — | — | 5.12 | 3,74 | ||
- ^ ALDE är inte längre aktiv på någon politisk nivå sedan slutet av mars 2022, efter att ha blivit helt absorberad av PNL under tiden.
- ^ Innehöll också ALDE i dess övergripande politiska poäng vid 2020 års lagstiftande val .
2021
| Datum | Enkätkälla | Provstorlek | PSD | PNL | FD | USR PLUS | AUR | UDMR | PMP | PROFFS | ALDE | PUSL | PER | App | Andra | Leda |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15–23 december 2021 | Avangarde | 907 | 39,0 | 18,0 | — | 10,0 | 17,0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | — | 4.0 | — | 1.0 | 1.0 | 21.0 |
| 17–22 december 2021 | Sociopol | 1 001 | 33,0 | 15,0 | 3.0 | 12,0 | 23,0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | — | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 10,0 |
| 13–17 december 2021 | KURS | 1 100 | 38,0 | 19,0 | — | 11.0 | 13,0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | — | — | 4.0 | — | — | 5.0 | 19,0 |
| 25 november 2021 | Ciucă -kabinettet , med stöd av en stor koalition bestående av PNL , PSD och UDMR/RMDSZ, röstas och investeras | |||||||||||||||
| 16–24 nov 2021 | Avangarde | 906 | 40,0 | 17,0 | — | 11.0 | 15,0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | — | — | 2.0 | 23,0 |
| 17–22 november 2021 | KURS | 1 100 | 38,0 | 18,0 | — | 11.0 | 14,0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | — | — | 3.0 | 20.0 |
| 9–12 november 2021 | PPU | 1 023 | 30,5 | 3.0 | 7.5 | 23,0 | 12,0 | 5.0 | 6.5 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 2.5 | — | 2.5 | 1.0 | 7.5 |
| före 3 november 2021 | FL | 1 217 | 34,0 | 8,0 | 20.0 | 12,0 | 5.0 | 6.5 | 5.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | — | 2.0 | 4.0 | 14,0 | |
| 25–30 oktober 2021 | KURS | 1 100 | 39,0 | 19,0 | — | 11.0 | 12,0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | — | 4.0 | — | — | 2.0 | 20.0 |
| 17–26 oktober 2021 | Avangarde | 900 | 40,0 | 17,0 | — | 13,0 | 14,0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | — | — | 0,0 | 23,0 |
| 15–25 oktober 2021 | INSCOP | 1 100 | 35,5 | 21.9 | — | 12.4 | 14.2 | 5.0 | 2.9 | 3.2 | — | 0,5 | — | 1.7 | 2.8 | 13.6 |
| 12–20 oktober 2021 | KURS | 1 202 | 39,0 | 21.0 | — | 11.0 | 13,0 | 5.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11.0 | 18,0 |
| 12–17 oktober 2021 | APP | 1 122 | 30,0 | 3.0 | 11.5 | 17.5 | 17,0 | 4.0 | 6,0 | 5.0 | 1.5 | — | — | 3.5 | 1.0 | 12.5 |
| 12–17 oktober 2021 | INSCOP | 1 100 | 36,7 | 19.8 | — | 16.4 | 15.3 | 3.0 | 2.1 | 3.0 | — | — | — | — | 3.8 | 16.9 |
| 11–15 oktober 2021 | Sociopol | 1 002 | 32,0 | 20.0 | — | 13,0 | 21.0 | 6,0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8,0 | 11.0 |
| 26–29 september 2021 | Gazeta Civică | 1 202 | 28,0 | 17,0 | 18,0 | 17.5 | 5.0 | 5.5 | 4.0 | 1.0 | — | — | 3.0 | 2.0 | 10,0 | |
| 28 september 2021 | INSOMAR | 1 030 | 31.6 | 25,9 | 15,0 | 17,0 | 4.6 | 2.5 | 2.3 | — | — | — | 1.2 | 0,0 | 5.7 | |
| 15–27 september 2021 | INSCOP | 1 204 | 35,4 | 21.9 | 9.8 | 17.1 | — | 2.9 | 4.4 | — | — | — | — | 8.5 | 13.5 | |
| 14–21 september 2021 | Avangarde | 900 | 37,0 | 20.0 | 13,0 | 14,0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | — | — | 1.0 | 17,0 | |
| 8–10 september 2021 | KURS | 861 | 36,0 | 19,0 | 11.0 | 14,0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | — | — | 1.0 | 17,0 | |
| 3–5 september 2021 | KURS | 853 | 35,0 | 20.0 | 11.0 | 12,0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | — | — | 2.0 | 15,0 | |
| 1 september 2021 | Rumäniens politiska kris 2021 börjar, vilket leder till upplösningen av regeringskoalitionen från mitten-högern och en PNL - splitter | |||||||||||||||
| 20–24 augusti 2021 | Avangarde | 900 | 35,0 | 21.0 | 14,0 | 15,0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | — | 1.0 | — | — | 2.0 | 14,0 | |
| 12–20 augusti 2021 | KURS | 1 067 | 34,0 | 20.0 | 12,0 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | — | — | 3.0 | 14,0 | |
| 15–19 augusti 2021 | IRES | 1 006 | 35,0 | 27,0 | 14,0 | 14,0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | — | — | — | 2.0 | 8,0 | |
| 26 juli 2021 | INSOMAR | — | 38,1 | 15.1 | 11.1 | 15,0 | 5.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 15.8 | 23,0 | |
| 9–19 juli 2021 | Avangarde | 903 | 34,0 | 23,0 | 13,0 | 15,0 | 5.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10,0 | 11.0 | |
| 1–15 juli 2021 | Sociopol | 1 100 | 31,0 | 27,0 | 15,0 | 10,0 | 7,0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | — | — | 2.0 | — | 3.0 | 4.0 | |
| 24 juni 2021 | INSOMAR | 1 030 | 22.9 | 25,0 | 15,0 | 18,0 | 5.1 | — | 2.0 | 2.9 | — | — | — | 7.2 | 2.1 | |
| 11–18 juni 2021 | KURS | 1 067 | 34,0 | 22,0 | 14,0 | 12,0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | — | — | 4.0 | 12,0 | |
| 1–15 juni 2021 | INSCOP | 1 100 | 30.2 | 26.6 | 13.2 | 14.2 | — | 2.8 | 4.3 | — | — | — | — | 8.7 | 3.6 | |
| 18 maj 2021 | Sociopol | 1 100 | 36 | 22 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | — | 1.0 | 14,0 | |
| 18 maj 2021 | IRES | 1 100 | 36,0 | 28,0 | 11.0 | 14,0 | 3.0 | — | 3.0 | — | — | 1.0 | — | 8,0 | 8,0 | |
| 1–8 maj 2021 | Avangarde | 900 | 36,0 | 23,0 | 14,0 | 15,0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | — | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | 2.0 | 13,0 | |
| 7 maj 2021 | INSOMAR | 1 030 | 22.1 | 23.5 | 13.6 | 15.5 | 8.6 | 4.6 | 4.1 | — | — | — | — | 8.4 | 1.4 | |
| 14–17 april 2021 | KURS | 1 107 | 33,0 | 21.0 | 16,0 | 12,0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | — | 4.0 | — | — | 2.0 | 12,0 | |
| 30 mars–11 april 2021 | BCS | 1 420 | 28,9 | 22.3 | 22.5 | 10,0 | 4.0 | 4.2 | 2.9 | — | — | — | — | 5.1 | 6.4 | |
| 12–28 mars 2021 | Sociopol | — | 35,0 | 26,0 | 17,0 | 12,0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | — | — | — | — | 1.0 | 9,0 | |
| 22–26 februari 2021 | KURS | 1 100 | 34,0 | 25,0 | 16,0 | 9,0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | — | 3.0 | — | — | 4.0 | 10,0 | |
| 10–14 februari 2021 | PER | 1 055 | 33,0 | 25,0 | 20.0 | 8,0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | — | 3.0 | — | 4.0 | 8,0 | |
| 9–11 februari 2021 | INSOMAR | 1 030 | 28,0 | 27,0 | 14,0 | 16,0 | 6,0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | — | — | — | — | 4.0 | 1.0 | |
| 15–17 januari 2021 | Avangarde | 710 | 34,0 | 24,0 | 16,0 | 14,0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | — | — | — | — | 3.0 | 10,0 | |
| 11–15 januari 2021 | KURS | 1 100 | 34,0 | 26,0 | 16,0 | 12,0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | — | — | — | — | 2.0 | 8,0 | |
| 17–21 december 2020 | KURS | 1 100 | 35,0 | 26,0 | 14,0 | 15,0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | — | — | — | — | 2.0 | 9,0 | |
| 10–20 december 2020 | Avangarde | 900 | 35,0 | 26,0 | 15,0 | 14,0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | — | — | — | — | 2.0 | 9,0 | |
| 6 december 2020 | Kammarval 2020 | — | 28,90 | 25.18 | 15.37 | 9.08 | 5,74 | 4,82 | 4.09 | 1.19 | 1.12 | — | 6,82 | 3,72 | ||
| Senatsval 2020 | — | 29.32 | 25,58 | 15,86 | 9.17 | 5,89 | 4,93 | 4.13 | 1.01 | 1,33 | — | 5.12 | 3,74 | |||
Trolig projektion av platser i nästa valperiod
| Datum | Enkätkälla | PSD | PNL | USR / USR PLUS | AUR | UDMR | PMP | PROFFS | App | FD | Nat. min. | Leda |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19–26 maj 2022 | KURS | 133 | 88 | 34 | 38 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 45 |
| 12–20 april 2022 | Avangarde | 132 | 70 | 40 | 52 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 62 |
| 17–22 december 2021 | Sociopol | 117 | 53 | 42 | 82 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 35 |
| 17–26 oktober 2021 | Avangarde | 140 | 59 | 46 | 49 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 81 |
| 12–17 oktober 2021 | INSCOP | 125 | 68 | 56 | 52 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 57 |
| 12–17 oktober 2021 | APP | 109 | 42 | 63 | 62 | 14 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 46 |
| 26–29 september 2021 | Gazeta Civică | 95 | 57 | 61 | 59 | 17 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 34 |
| 28 september 2021 | INSOMAR | 104 | 85 | 49 | 56 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 19 |
| 9–19 juli 2021 | Avangarde | 118 | 80 | 45 | 52 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 38 |
| 11–15 januari 2021 | KURS | 113 | 88 | 53 | 40 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 25 |
| 6 december 2020 | Kammarval 2020 | 110 | 93 | 55 | 33 | 21 | 0 | 0 | — | PNL | 18 | 17 |
Godkännande betyg
| Datum | Enkätkälla | Provstorlek |
Ciolacu PSD |
Ciucă PNL |
Cîțu PNL |
Orban PNL / FD |
Cioloș USR PLUS |
Barna USR PLUS |
Dragu USR PLUS |
Simion AUR |
Kelemen UDMR |
Diaconescu PMP |
Băsescu PMP |
President Iohannis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 januari 22 | KURS | — | 27,0 | 27,0 | 11.0 | 10,0 | 13,0 | — | — | 21.0 | 13,0 | 15,0 | 11.0 | 18,0 |
| 17–26 21 okt | Avangarde | 900 | 25,0 | — | 7,0 | 9,0 | 13,0 | 9,0 | — | 20.0 | — | — | — | 14,0 |
| 14–21 21 sept | Avangarde | 900 | 33,0 | — | 14,0 | 16,0 | 12,0 | 12,0 | — | 14,0 | — | — | — | 30,0 |
| 12–20 21 aug | KURS | 1 100 | 27,0 | — | 18,0 | 16,0 | 14,0 | 14,0 | 11.0 | 15,0 | 12,0 | 17,0 | 11.0 | 32,0 |
| 11–18 21 juni | KURS | 1 067 | 26,0 | — | 19,0 | 18,0 | 15,0 | 14,0 | 14,0 | 18,0 | 11.0 | 17,0 | 14,0 | 33,0 |
| 6 21 maj | INSOMAR | 1 030 | 20.1 | — | — | 21.9 | 8.2 | 12,0 | — | 14.1 | — | 8.3 | — | — |
| 14–17 21 apr | KURS | 1 107 | 26,0 | — | 24,0 | 20.0 | 16,0 | 15,0 | — | 21.0 | 13,0 | — | — | — |
| 11 21 april | BCS | 1 420 | 14,0 | — | 21.6 | 17.5 | 18.6 | 16.8 | — | 12.2 | 6.5 | 11.8 | 16.6 | — |
| 22–26 21 feb | KURS | 1 100 | 25,0 | — | 17,0 | 20.0 | 14,0 | 18,0 | 14,0 | 20.0 | 18,0 | — | — | 37,0 |
2021 politisk krisundersökning
| Röstningsbyrå | Datum | Fråga | Iohannis | PNL | USR | Cîțu | PSD | N/A |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avangarde | oktober 2021 | Vem är den främsta boven till den nuvarande politiska krisen ? | 18 % | 14 % | 11 % | 8 % | 1 % | 48 % |
Godkännandebetyg för tidigare premiärminister Florin Cîțu (april–oktober 2021)
| Röstningsbyrå | Datum för fältarbete | Provstorlek | Florin Cîțu | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
|
Netto | |||
| KURS | 25–30 oktober 2021 | 1 100 | 10,0 | 81,0 | 9,0 | −71,0 |
| Avangarde | 17–26 oktober 2021 | 900 | 7,0 | 74,0 | 19,0 | −67,0 |
| Avangarde | 14–21 september 2021 | 900 | 14,0 | 61,0 | 25,0 | −47,0 |
| KURS | 12–20 augusti 2021 | 1 100 | 18,0 | 77,0 | 5.0 | −59,0 |
| KURS | 11–18 juni 2021 | 1 067 | 19,0 | 75,0 | 6,0 | −56,0 |
| KURS | 14–17 april 2021 | 1 107 | 24,0 | 69,0 | 7,0 | −45,0 |
| BCS | 11 april 2021 | 1 420 | 21.6 | 68,5 | 9.8 | −46,9 |
Nationell godkännandebetyg
| Röstningsbyrå | Datum för fältarbete | Provstorlek | Går Rumänien på en bra väg/riktning? | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
Netto | |||
| Godkänd | Ogillande | |||||
| Avangarde | 17–26 oktober 2021 | 900 | 8,0 | 80,0 | 12,0 | −72,0 |
Referenser och anteckningar
| Riksdagsval |
|
|---|---|
| Presidentval | |
| Lokala val | |
| val till Europaparlamentet | |
| Andra val | |
| Folkomröstningar | |
